Triestina vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.6%
17.4%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1984 |
CES
2 - 2
TRI
54%
25%
21%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1984 |
TRI
1 - 1
USC
57%
26%
18%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1984 |
CAM
1 - 1
TRI
40%
29%
31%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1984 |
TRI
2 - 1
CAG
53%
26%
21%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 1984 |
LEC
0 - 1
TRI
42%
29%
29%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1984 |
PAD
1 - 0
PES
59%
24%
17%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1984 |
PAL
0 - 1
PAD
41%
29%
29%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1984 |
PAD
1 - 1
ATL
57%
27%
17%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1984 |
ASS
0 - 0
PAD
50%
27%
23%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1984 |
PAD
1 - 0
PRG
53%
26%
20%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |