Triestina vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
28.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1963 |
VER
2 - 0
TRI
61%
22%
17%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1963 |
TRI
3 - 1
PAR
56%
25%
19%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1963 |
LEC
2 - 0
TRI
61%
22%
17%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 1963 |
FCC
2 - 1
TRI
49%
26%
25%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 1963 |
TRI
0 - 1
BRE
53%
27%
21%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1963 |
PAD
1 - 0
USF
61%
21%
18%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1963 |
COS
1 - 0
PAD
37%
28%
35%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 1963 |
POT
1 - 1
PAD
42%
26%
32%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1963 |
PAD
2 - 1
MOD
60%
20%
20%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1963 |
BRE
0 - 1
PAD
49%
26%
26%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |