Triestina vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
23.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1949 |
TRI
5 - 4
LIV
50%
24%
26%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1949 |
LAZ
4 - 0
TRI
61%
20%
19%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 1949 |
GEN
5 - 1
TRI
63%
20%
17%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 1949 |
TRI
1 - 1
TOR
18%
23%
59%
|
76 | 91 | 15 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 1949 |
PRO
3 - 1
TRI
46%
24%
30%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1949 |
PAD
1 - 0
BAR
57%
22%
21%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1949 |
PAD
2 - 0
ROM
55%
22%
23%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1949 |
ACM
2 - 0
PAD
78%
13%
9%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1949 |
PAD
1 - 3
SAM
43%
23%
34%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 1949 |
ASL
4 - 0
PAD
56%
22%
22%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |