Triestina vs Lecco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.1%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
24.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 1962 |
PAD
4 - 0
TRI
67%
19%
15%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1962 |
TRI
1 - 0
USA
50%
26%
24%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 1962 |
COM
4 - 2
TRI
47%
26%
27%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 1962 |
TRI
1 - 0
ASL
51%
26%
23%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1962 |
USF
2 - 1
TRI
60%
22%
19%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 1962 |
COS
0 - 0
LEC
49%
26%
25%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1962 |
LEC
1 - 1
COM
71%
18%
11%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1962 |
PAD
1 - 0
LEC
64%
21%
16%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1962 |
LEC
1 - 1
ASS
70%
19%
11%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 1962 |
LEC
2 - 1
UDI
59%
22%
19%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |