Triestina vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
13%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 1984 |
COM
5 - 1
TRI
50%
28%
23%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1984 |
TRI
3 - 2
FCC
56%
25%
19%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1984 |
PES
0 - 0
TRI
44%
27%
29%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1984 |
TRI
1 - 2
ATL
58%
26%
16%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 May. 1984 |
ARZ
1 - 0
TRI
37%
29%
33%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1982 |
BRE
1 - 2
ASC
28%
27%
45%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1982 |
SAM
4 - 0
BRE
64%
23%
13%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 1982 |
TRI
0 - 1
BRE
78%
14%
9%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 1982 |
BRE
0 - 1
PIS
57%
25%
18%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1982 |
BRE
1 - 2
VAR
49%
27%
25%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |