Triestina vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.3%
29.6%
Draw
0-0
12.4%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.6%
27.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1964 |
USF
1 - 1
TRI
60%
23%
17%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1964 |
FCC
0 - 0
TRI
52%
25%
23%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1964 |
TRI
2 - 2
VNZ
47%
28%
25%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1964 |
NAP
1 - 0
TRI
61%
22%
17%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1964 |
CAG
0 - 0
TRI
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1964 |
BRE
1 - 1
ACP
68%
20%
12%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1964 |
PAD
1 - 0
BRE
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1964 |
BRE
2 - 1
PAR
69%
20%
11%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1964 |
USF
1 - 1
BRE
54%
25%
21%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1964 |
BRE
3 - 0
VNZ
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |