Triestina vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
32.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1947 |
SAM
4 - 1
TRI
72%
16%
12%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1947 |
TRI
1 - 5
JUV
23%
26%
51%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 1947 |
INT
5 - 2
TRI
76%
15%
10%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1947 |
TRI
0 - 1
MOD
35%
26%
39%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 1947 |
TRI
3 - 0
NAP
34%
26%
41%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1947 |
FIO
3 - 1
BRE
62%
19%
19%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1947 |
BRE
0 - 1
TOR
22%
23%
55%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1947 |
LIV
2 - 2
BRE
59%
21%
20%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1947 |
BRE
3 - 0
ROM
43%
25%
33%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 1947 |
ACM
2 - 1
BRE
79%
13%
8%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |