Triestina vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
24.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1935 |
FIO
1 - 0
TRI
62%
22%
16%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1935 |
TRI
3 - 1
LEO
59%
22%
20%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 1934 |
ACM
0 - 1
TRI
65%
19%
16%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 1934 |
TRI
0 - 2
ROM
32%
25%
42%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 1934 |
JUV
0 - 0
TRI
81%
12%
7%
|
71 | 89 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1935 |
BRE
4 - 0
LIV
51%
22%
27%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1935 |
INT
5 - 1
BRE
79%
13%
8%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1934 |
BRE
1 - 0
LAZ
49%
23%
28%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1934 |
TOR
4 - 2
BRE
64%
19%
17%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1934 |
BRE
1 - 0
SAM
37%
22%
41%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |