Triestina vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
23.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1933 |
LAZ
2 - 0
TRI
49%
24%
27%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1933 |
TRI
2 - 1
PAD
53%
22%
25%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1933 |
TRI
1 - 1
TOR
43%
24%
33%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1933 |
LIV
2 - 1
TRI
45%
24%
31%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1933 |
TRI
2 - 2
ACM
43%
25%
33%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1933 |
LIV
0 - 0
BRE
47%
23%
31%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1933 |
BRE
1 - 2
BOL
36%
27%
37%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 1933 |
JUV
5 - 1
BRE
82%
12%
7%
|
72 | 90 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1933 |
BRE
1 - 0
PAD
50%
22%
27%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1933 |
GEN
3 - 1
BRE
63%
19%
18%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |