Triestina vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
40%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1930 |
LEO
6 - 0
TRI
60%
19%
21%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1930 |
LAZ
0 - 0
TRI
72%
15%
12%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1930 |
TRI
4 - 0
USC
53%
21%
26%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 1930 |
ROM
5 - 0
TRI
79%
12%
9%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1930 |
TRI
0 - 1
BOL
20%
20%
61%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1930 |
PRO
2 - 0
BRE
40%
24%
35%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1930 |
BRE
1 - 1
ROM
51%
23%
27%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1930 |
BRE
1 - 0
LEO
63%
18%
19%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1930 |
PAD
2 - 1
BRE
40%
24%
35%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1930 |
BRE
2 - 1
NAP
47%
23%
30%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |