Triestina vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
41.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1959 |
TRI
2 - 1
GEN
39%
25%
37%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1959 |
UDI
0 - 0
TRI
58%
21%
21%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1959 |
TRI
1 - 1
TOR
51%
24%
25%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1959 |
FIO
4 - 1
TRI
80%
13%
8%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 1959 |
TRI
1 - 0
ROM
38%
26%
36%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1959 |
BOL
0 - 0
TOR
70%
17%
13%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1959 |
SPA
0 - 1
BOL
34%
26%
41%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1959 |
BOL
2 - 0
PAD
60%
20%
19%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 1959 |
ROM
0 - 1
BOL
51%
23%
27%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1959 |
BOL
2 - 0
UDI
67%
18%
15%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |