Triestina vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
35.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1954 |
TOR
5 - 1
TRI
59%
21%
20%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1954 |
TRI
0 - 2
NAP
44%
25%
31%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 1954 |
TRI
1 - 1
CAT
61%
22%
18%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1954 |
ATL
0 - 0
TRI
60%
21%
20%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1954 |
TRI
1 - 1
GEN
62%
21%
17%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1954 |
BOL
2 - 0
SPA
67%
19%
14%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1954 |
BOL
3 - 1
SAM
62%
21%
18%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1954 |
INT
2 - 2
BOL
75%
15%
10%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1954 |
GEN
1 - 2
BOL
38%
25%
37%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 1954 |
BOL
1 - 2
ACM
30%
24%
46%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | -1 |