Triestina vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
28.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec. 1950 |
NAP
2 - 1
TRI
50%
24%
26%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1950 |
TRI
4 - 2
PAL
50%
24%
26%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 1950 |
PAD
2 - 0
TRI
55%
22%
24%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 1950 |
TRI
3 - 4
ACM
23%
23%
54%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1950 |
LAZ
2 - 0
TRI
65%
18%
16%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1950 |
BOL
1 - 1
INT
34%
23%
44%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1950 |
GEN
1 - 2
BOL
50%
24%
26%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1950 |
BOL
0 - 1
FIO
54%
22%
23%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1950 |
ACM
1 - 2
BOL
86%
9%
5%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 1950 |
BOL
5 - 2
PRO
58%
21%
21%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |