Triestina vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
39.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1942 |
NAP
0 - 1
TRI
52%
24%
24%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1942 |
TRI
1 - 1
MOD
49%
24%
27%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1942 |
LIV
1 - 0
TRI
52%
24%
24%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 1942 |
TRI
0 - 0
INT
35%
26%
40%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1942 |
LAZ
5 - 0
TRI
65%
19%
16%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1942 |
BOL
2 - 0
VNZ
65%
19%
16%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1942 |
ATL
0 - 2
BOL
31%
24%
45%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1942 |
BOL
3 - 1
ACM
66%
19%
15%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1942 |
ROM
1 - 0
BOL
51%
23%
26%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1942 |
BOL
1 - 1
GEN
66%
19%
16%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |