Triestina vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
39%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 1933 |
ACM
2 - 2
TRI
68%
18%
15%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1933 |
TRI
3 - 0
CAS
57%
21%
22%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 1933 |
PAD
0 - 1
TRI
55%
21%
23%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 May. 1933 |
BAR
2 - 1
TRI
47%
23%
31%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 May. 1933 |
TRI
2 - 1
LAZ
44%
24%
32%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 1933 |
BOL
4 - 1
LAZ
74%
16%
11%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1933 |
PRO
3 - 3
BOL
30%
25%
45%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1933 |
BOL
1 - 2
JUV
56%
22%
22%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1933 |
ACM
0 - 3
BOL
48%
24%
28%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1933 |
USA
2 - 0
BOL
43%
25%
32%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | -1 |