Triestina vs Belluno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
56.8%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
ACE
0 - 0
TRI
77%
16%
8%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
TRI
2 - 1
FON
58%
21%
21%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
MES
5 - 0
TRI
71%
16%
13%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
TRI
2 - 1
TAM
27%
25%
48%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | +2 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
LEV
1 - 1
TRI
42%
22%
36%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Belluno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
BEL
1 - 1
GIO
78%
15%
7%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
ACE
1 - 1
BEL
51%
25%
24%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
BEL
2 - 1
MES
58%
21%
21%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
MON
1 - 2
BEL
19%
23%
58%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
BEL
2 - 1
LEV
79%
14%
7%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |