Triestina vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
22.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1938 |
INT
1 - 2
TRI
77%
14%
9%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1938 |
TRI
3 - 0
NAP
47%
24%
29%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1938 |
LAZ
2 - 1
TRI
64%
20%
16%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1938 |
TRI
0 - 0
ASL
62%
20%
18%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1938 |
LIV
0 - 1
TRI
43%
25%
32%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1938 |
ATL
1 - 2
BOL
30%
26%
45%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1938 |
JUV
5 - 0
ATL
79%
13%
8%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1938 |
ATL
3 - 4
GEN
42%
22%
36%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 1938 |
ATL
1 - 1
FIO
53%
21%
26%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1938 |
TOR
2 - 1
ATL
71%
15%
13%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |