Triestina vs ACO Liguria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
22.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 1942 |
TOR
2 - 0
TRI
76%
15%
10%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1942 |
TRI
2 - 0
FIO
47%
24%
30%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1942 |
TRI
2 - 2
VNZ
40%
26%
34%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 May. 1942 |
ATL
1 - 1
TRI
54%
22%
24%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1942 |
TRI
2 - 2
ACM
39%
27%
35%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
ACO Liguria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 1942 |
ACL
0 - 2
VNZ
38%
24%
38%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1942 |
ATL
1 - 1
ACL
57%
21%
22%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1942 |
ACL
1 - 0
ACM
38%
24%
38%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 May. 1942 |
ROM
7 - 0
ACL
69%
18%
13%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 May. 1942 |
ACL
3 - 4
GEN
38%
24%
38%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |