Triestina vs ACO Liguria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
29.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1940 |
NAP
3 - 1
TRI
46%
25%
29%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1940 |
TRI
0 - 0
VNZ
45%
23%
32%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1940 |
JUV
2 - 6
TRI
67%
20%
13%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 1940 |
TRI
0 - 2
BOL
36%
28%
37%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 1940 |
NOV
2 - 1
TRI
50%
23%
27%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
ACO Liguria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1940 |
ACL
1 - 0
ROM
42%
24%
34%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1940 |
INT
1 - 0
ACL
81%
12%
7%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1940 |
ACL
1 - 0
BAR
56%
21%
23%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1940 |
ACL
2 - 0
NAP
57%
22%
21%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 1940 |
VNZ
2 - 1
ACL
65%
17%
18%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |