Triestina vs Ascoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
23.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
MOD
0 - 1
TRI
55%
25%
20%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
TRI
0 - 0
BAR
55%
24%
21%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
GEN
2 - 2
TRI
63%
21%
16%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2004 |
ABN
3 - 3
TRI
45%
27%
28%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
TRI
1 - 0
CRO
57%
23%
20%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
GEN
3 - 0
ASC
65%
20%
15%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2004 |
ASC
0 - 2
CRO
59%
23%
19%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | -2 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
VNZ
1 - 1
ASC
36%
27%
37%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
ASC
2 - 0
VIC
46%
26%
28%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2004 |
PIA
3 - 1
ASC
60%
23%
18%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |