Triestina vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
18.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2001 |
PIS
2 - 2
TRI
33%
30%
37%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
TRI
1 - 3
SPE
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
TRE
0 - 0
TRI
55%
25%
20%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2001 |
TRI
1 - 0
CES
48%
26%
25%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
SPA
2 - 3
TRI
46%
27%
27%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2001 |
VAR
1 - 1
PAD
43%
27%
30%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
ABN
0 - 1
VAR
41%
28%
31%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
VAR
1 - 3
LEC
56%
24%
20%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
REG
2 - 3
VAR
39%
29%
32%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2001 |
VAR
1 - 0
ASS
48%
26%
26%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |