Triestina vs Cittadella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.7%
18.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
PIS
3 - 1
TRI
40%
28%
32%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
TRI
1 - 0
MAN
40%
28%
32%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2008 |
SAL
0 - 1
TRI
44%
27%
29%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
TRI
1 - 1
SAS
45%
26%
29%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2008 |
ASC
1 - 1
TRI
69%
19%
12%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
CTT
0 - 1
VIC
42%
28%
30%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
CTT
0 - 2
EMP
26%
28%
46%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2008 |
TRE
0 - 1
CTT
55%
25%
20%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2008 |
CTT
0 - 2
MAN
32%
27%
41%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
AVE
0 - 0
CTT
47%
26%
28%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |