Triestina vs Cittadella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
23.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2002 |
TRE
1 - 2
TRI
43%
27%
30%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2002 |
TRI
2 - 0
VER
24%
25%
51%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | +2 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
TRI
2 - 2
ASS
68%
20%
12%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
VAR
2 - 2
TRI
40%
29%
31%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
TRI
3 - 1
PIS
55%
25%
20%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
REG
0 - 0
CTT
30%
27%
43%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2002 |
VER
1 - 0
CTT
72%
17%
11%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2002 |
CTT
3 - 1
TRE
49%
25%
26%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2002 |
CTT
2 - 1
PIS
50%
25%
25%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2002 |
COM
4 - 3
CTT
62%
24%
15%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |