Triestina vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
20.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
VER
0 - 1
TRI
51%
26%
24%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
TRI
1 - 1
ATL
35%
28%
37%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2004 |
NAP
0 - 0
TRI
42%
28%
30%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
TRI
2 - 1
PES
61%
22%
17%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
LIV
1 - 1
TRI
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
BAR
3 - 2
LIV
38%
28%
34%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2004 |
ASC
0 - 0
BAR
44%
26%
30%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2004 |
BAR
1 - 0
GEN
49%
27%
24%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
ABN
3 - 1
BAR
37%
28%
36%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
BAR
1 - 2
VER
38%
27%
35%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |