Triestina vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
36.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1947 |
TRI
0 - 0
SAL
46%
23%
31%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1947 |
LIV
2 - 1
TRI
61%
20%
19%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1947 |
SAM
2 - 2
TRI
77%
13%
9%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1947 |
TRI
2 - 0
VNZ
36%
26%
38%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +2 |
| 29 Jun. 1947 |
GEN
3 - 1
TRI
69%
17%
14%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1947 |
VIC
3 - 1
BAR
57%
21%
22%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1947 |
BAR
2 - 1
ROM
40%
26%
35%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1947 |
BAR
1 - 0
TOR
16%
22%
62%
|
72 | 91 | 19 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1947 |
ATL
3 - 1
BAR
56%
22%
23%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1947 |
BAR
2 - 0
GEN
33%
25%
43%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +2 |