Triestina vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
30.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 1946 |
LIV
3 - 0
TRI
60%
22%
18%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1946 |
TRI
1 - 1
SAM
32%
24%
45%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1946 |
BRE
2 - 2
TRI
54%
24%
23%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1946 |
JUV
4 - 0
TRI
84%
10%
6%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 1946 |
TRI
0 - 0
INT
30%
28%
42%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 1946 |
INT
3 - 1
BAR
73%
16%
11%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1946 |
BAR
1 - 0
BOL
29%
25%
46%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1946 |
BAR
1 - 0
NAP
41%
25%
34%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 1946 |
SAM
6 - 1
BAR
70%
17%
14%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 1946 |
BAR
1 - 0
VNZ
38%
25%
37%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |