Triestina vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
25.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1940 |
VNZ
4 - 3
TRI
63%
19%
18%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1940 |
TRI
3 - 3
ATL
52%
23%
25%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1940 |
TOR
2 - 1
TRI
71%
17%
12%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1940 |
TRI
2 - 3
LAZ
39%
25%
36%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1940 |
ACM
0 - 0
TRI
63%
20%
17%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1940 |
BAR
1 - 1
LIV
48%
24%
29%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1940 |
INT
5 - 0
BAR
77%
14%
9%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 1940 |
BAR
1 - 2
NOV
48%
24%
28%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1940 |
BAR
2 - 1
FIO
50%
24%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1940 |
VNZ
2 - 1
BAR
65%
18%
18%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |