Triestina vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
27.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1940 |
TRI
1 - 0
ROM
43%
26%
31%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1940 |
INT
5 - 1
TRI
75%
16%
10%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1940 |
TRI
3 - 1
ACL
47%
24%
29%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1940 |
NAP
3 - 1
TRI
46%
25%
29%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1940 |
TRI
0 - 0
VNZ
45%
23%
32%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1940 |
BAR
1 - 0
NOV
45%
24%
31%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1940 |
ROM
4 - 2
BAR
61%
20%
19%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1940 |
BAR
1 - 5
LAZ
36%
24%
40%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 1940 |
INT
0 - 0
BAR
74%
15%
11%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1940 |
BAR
2 - 0
ACM
36%
25%
38%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |