Triestina vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
17.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1935 |
LAZ
3 - 2
TRI
64%
19%
17%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1935 |
TRI
5 - 1
FIO
37%
25%
38%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | +2 |
| 02 Jun. 1935 |
SAM
1 - 0
TRI
62%
20%
18%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 May. 1935 |
TRI
0 - 0
NAP
39%
25%
36%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1935 |
BRE
2 - 1
TRI
51%
23%
26%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1935 |
PAL
2 - 1
BAR
55%
23%
23%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1935 |
BAR
1 - 1
LAZ
42%
23%
34%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 1933 |
PRO
2 - 1
BAR
56%
21%
23%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 1933 |
BAR
2 - 0
LEO
48%
23%
29%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 1933 |
BAR
3 - 1
TOR
23%
21%
56%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | +2 |