Triestina vs Prato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
10%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
9.9%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2011 |
SPE
1 - 1
TRI
34%
28%
38%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
TRI
2 - 1
TRA
64%
22%
14%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
PIA
0 - 3
TRI
58%
23%
20%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +2 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
TRI
1 - 0
USC
35%
28%
37%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
BV5
2 - 0
TRI
27%
27%
47%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Prato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2011 |
ACP
1 - 1
POR
17%
25%
59%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
BV5
0 - 0
ACP
61%
23%
17%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
ACP
0 - 1
SIR
20%
25%
56%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
FER
0 - 1
ACP
47%
26%
27%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
SPE
1 - 0
ACP
64%
23%
14%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | -1 |