Triestina vs AC Marzotto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
11.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 1958 |
TRI
4 - 1
RAV
69%
16%
15%
|
74 | 49 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1958 |
PAR
2 - 1
TRI
28%
26%
46%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | -1 |
| 18 May. 1958 |
TRI
3 - 1
CAG
65%
20%
15%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | +1 |
| 11 May. 1958 |
COM
2 - 0
TRI
39%
26%
35%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 May. 1958 |
NOV
0 - 1
TRI
44%
24%
32%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
AC Marzotto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 1958 |
ACM
0 - 2
UDI
41%
23%
36%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1958 |
ACM
2 - 1
CAT
60%
22%
18%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 May. 1958 |
MOD
1 - 1
ACM
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1958 |
ACM
3 - 0
CAG
65%
20%
15%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 May. 1958 |
BRE
1 - 0
ACM
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |