Triestina vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
38.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
MAT
3 - 2
TRI
32%
26%
42%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
MAN
0 - 0
TRI
40%
25%
35%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
TRI
0 - 1
FAN
73%
19%
9%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
FCS
1 - 2
TRI
49%
25%
26%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
TRI
2 - 1
PRG
17%
25%
58%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
CES
1 - 3
VIR
62%
22%
16%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
ARZ
0 - 2
CES
22%
24%
54%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
CES
0 - 0
FCS
48%
26%
26%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
IMO
1 - 2
CES
16%
21%
64%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
CES
2 - 1
SSS
57%
23%
20%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |