Triestina vs SS Arezzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
20%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
ABN
1 - 1
TRI
34%
28%
38%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2001 |
TRI
1 - 0
ALV
70%
18%
12%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2001 |
REG
1 - 1
TRI
34%
30%
36%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1993 |
TRI
0 - 4
USF
21%
22%
57%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 1993 |
USF
2 - 2
TRI
84%
11%
5%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2001 |
ARZ
0 - 1
LIV
34%
26%
39%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
ARZ
3 - 1
PIS
50%
27%
23%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2001 |
ALV
3 - 0
ARZ
35%
26%
39%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -2 |
| 29 Aug. 2001 |
TRE
2 - 0
ARZ
54%
24%
22%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2001 |
BAR
1 - 1
ARZ
69%
19%
12%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | +1 |