US Thionville Lusitanos vs Thaon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
46.3%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+126%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
1º
3º
1º
39
4º
13º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
39 | 40 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
87% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 35 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
24% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
24% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
9º
|
32% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
73.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
73.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Thionville Lusitanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
MET
1 - 2
THL
68%
17%
15%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
SAR
0 - 1
THL
58%
20%
22%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +2 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
TRO
4 - 1
THL
58%
20%
22%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -2 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
REI
2 - 1
THL
69%
16%
16%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
THL
0 - 1
MAR
5%
14%
81%
|
30 | 87 | 57 | 0 |
Matches
Thaon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
THA
3 - 0
REI
44%
26%
30%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
THA
2 - 2
NAN
47%
23%
30%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
STR
1 - 2
THA
39%
23%
38%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
MET
2 - 1
THA
17%
19%
63%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
THA
3 - 0
SAR
33%
23%
45%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +2 |