Thionville Lusitanos vs Nancy II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
51.4%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+112%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
1º
3º
1º
35
1º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 40 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
87% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 35 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
24% | |
|
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
24% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
9º
|
32% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
73.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
73.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thionville Lusitanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
STR
1 - 1
THL
75%
15%
11%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
THL
3 - 0
MEZ
19%
20%
61%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | +4 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
THA
1 - 1
THL
80%
13%
8%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
THL
5 - 2
SAR
6%
11%
83%
|
11 | 36 | 25 | +7 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
MET
0 - 2
THL
87%
9%
4%
|
9 | 26 | 17 | +2 |
Matches
Nancy II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
NAN
1 - 0
REI
38%
23%
40%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
NAN
2 - 2
STR
36%
24%
40%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
MEZ
1 - 0
NAN
46%
24%
30%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
NAN
1 - 1
THA
36%
23%
41%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
SAR
1 - 1
NAN
60%
20%
19%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |