Thionville Lusitanos vs Belfort analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
48.4%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+98%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
1º
3º
1º
32
4º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 40 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
87% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 35 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
24% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
24% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
9º
|
32% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
73.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
73.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thionville Lusitanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
HIE
0 - 4
THL
57%
19%
24%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
THL
0 - 0
REI
32%
22%
45%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
THL
4 - 1
NAN
27%
21%
51%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | +2 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
STR
1 - 1
THL
75%
15%
11%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
THL
3 - 0
MEZ
19%
20%
61%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | +4 |
Matches
Belfort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
BEL
0 - 1
NAN
55%
22%
23%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
STR
3 - 1
BEL
42%
23%
35%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
BEL
2 - 3
MEZ
65%
20%
15%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
THA
0 - 0
BEL
36%
24%
41%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
BEL
2 - 2
SAR
47%
23%
31%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |