St Sernin-du-Bois vs Auxerre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.1%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.7%
13%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13%
81%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.5%
0-3
12.2%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.7%
0-4
8%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
10.8%
0-5
4.2%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.4%
0-6
1.9%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.3%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2016 |
AMI
0 - 0
AUX
47%
27%
25%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
AUX
0 - 4
NIO
49%
26%
25%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
TFC
1 - 0
AUX
73%
18%
10%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2016 |
STR
2 - 1
AUX
40%
28%
32%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2016 |
AUX
2 - 0
STL
54%
27%
19%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |