Sassuolo vs Paganese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.4%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.1%
7.3%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sassuolo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2007 |
FOL
1 - 1
SAS
26%
28%
46%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
SAS
1 - 1
NOV
70%
19%
11%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
SSM
0 - 2
SAS
21%
26%
53%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
SAS
2 - 2
UNI
72%
19%
9%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
SAS
2 - 0
LEC
71%
19%
10%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2007 |
PAG
0 - 0
PRO
39%
27%
34%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
CTT
3 - 3
PAG
72%
19%
9%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
PAG
1 - 0
CAV
34%
28%
39%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
VER
0 - 0
PAG
61%
24%
16%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
VNZ
1 - 0
PAG
67%
21%
12%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |