Q. Europa League Play-Offs Final
Global 4-1
Sassuolo vs Crvena Zvezda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
30.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sassuolo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2016 |
CEL
1 - 0
SAS
63%
21%
16%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2016 |
SAS
3 - 0
FCL
47%
23%
29%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2016 |
FCL
1 - 1
SAS
47%
25%
29%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2016 |
SAS
8 - 0
CAS
93%
6%
1%
|
82 | 26 | 56 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2016 |
SAS
1 - 0
HHA
68%
20%
12%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
RAD
0 - 3
CRV
18%
23%
59%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2016 |
CRV
3 - 0
VOZ
84%
11%
5%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
MLA
2 - 4
CRV
10%
20%
69%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2016 |
CRV
2 - 4
LUD
67%
19%
14%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2016 |
CRV
3 - 1
MET
85%
11%
4%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | +1 |