Sassuolo vs Pavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
9.9%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sassuolo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2007 |
CTT
2 - 0
SAS
32%
28%
40%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
PIS
1 - 0
SAS
28%
27%
45%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
SAS
3 - 1
NOV
64%
22%
14%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2007 |
USC
1 - 0
SAS
26%
26%
48%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2006 |
SAS
0 - 1
ACS
70%
19%
11%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
PAV
1 - 1
ASS
38%
28%
35%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
PAV
0 - 1
GRO
33%
28%
39%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
USI
2 - 1
PAV
38%
28%
33%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2007 |
PAV
3 - 2
PAD
44%
28%
29%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2006 |
PRO
2 - 0
PAV
40%
28%
33%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |