Aigues Mortes vs Onet Le Château analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
21.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
3º
13º
10º
31
5º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 37 |
6º
|
86.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 34 |
7º
|
44% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
57.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
82% | |
|
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Relegation
|
100% | 18% |
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 82% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aigues Mortes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
AGD
1 - 1
SAM
56%
22%
22%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
SAM
0 - 2
BEZ
10%
18%
72%
|
32 | 53 | 21 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
MON
2 - 0
SAM
59%
20%
21%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
SAM
2 - 0
COL
34%
24%
43%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +3 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
SAM
1 - 2
CAS
34%
23%
43%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Onet Le Château
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
ONE
0 - 1
CAS
30%
23%
48%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
ROD
2 - 1
ONE
60%
19%
21%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
ONE
3 - 2
FCA
27%
22%
51%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | +2 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
TOU
2 - 1
ONE
75%
15%
10%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
ONE
1 - 2
BEA
25%
21%
54%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | -1 |