Girone A Playoffs Girone A Semi-finals
Global 4-2
Pro Vercelli vs Savona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.1%
16.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pro Vercelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2014 |
SAV
1 - 2
LEO
25%
28%
47%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
LEO
2 - 0
CAR
55%
27%
19%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
ACD
0 - 1
LEO
48%
27%
25%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
LEO
2 - 0
FCS
39%
29%
32%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
VIC
1 - 1
LEO
57%
24%
18%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Savona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2014 |
SAV
1 - 2
LEO
25%
28%
47%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
SAV
4 - 1
ACL
37%
28%
36%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
FER
4 - 2
SAV
51%
25%
24%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
SAV
2 - 2
ACD
27%
28%
45%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
FCS
1 - 0
SAV
58%
24%
18%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |