Pro Vercelli vs Poli. Alghero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
29.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pro Vercelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
CRO
3 - 3
LEO
44%
25%
31%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
LEO
2 - 0
PRO
27%
27%
47%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | +3 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
SPE
4 - 0
LEO
75%
17%
8%
|
27 | 48 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
LEO
1 - 0
PRO
41%
26%
32%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
PAV
2 - 0
LEO
56%
24%
20%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Poli. Alghero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
POL
1 - 1
ACR
48%
25%
27%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2009 |
ATL
1 - 1
POL
74%
17%
10%
|
32 | 52 | 20 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
ACM
0 - 3
POL
40%
26%
34%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
POL
1 - 0
FER
25%
25%
50%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | +3 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
PRO
0 - 2
POL
70%
18%
12%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | +2 |