Serie C Playoffs Ascenso Last 16
Global 3-3
Pro Vercelli vs FC Südtirol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
43.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pro Vercelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2021 |
LEO
1 - 0
JS2
45%
27%
28%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 0
LEO
31%
25%
44%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
PON
2 - 2
LEO
34%
28%
38%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
LEO
0 - 2
PIA
51%
26%
24%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
LEO
1 - 3
LEC
46%
28%
26%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
FC Südtirol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2021 |
VIS
1 - 3
FCS
18%
26%
56%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
FCS
1 - 1
CES
51%
25%
25%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2021 |
TRI
3 - 2
FCS
32%
29%
39%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
FCS
2 - 0
VIR
64%
22%
14%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
LEG
2 - 3
FCS
18%
27%
55%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | +1 |