Pro Vercelli vs Casale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.7%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
17.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pro Vercelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1933 |
ACM
2 - 1
LEO
67%
18%
15%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1933 |
LEO
3 - 1
PAD
52%
21%
27%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 1933 |
TRI
2 - 1
LEO
51%
23%
27%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 1933 |
LEO
1 - 3
BOL
40%
25%
35%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1933 |
JUV
4 - 2
LEO
80%
12%
7%
|
72 | 90 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1933 |
CAS
0 - 0
USA
43%
23%
34%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1933 |
JUV
6 - 0
CAS
91%
6%
3%
|
64 | 90 | 26 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1933 |
CAS
1 - 0
TOR
22%
21%
57%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 1933 |
BAR
3 - 3
CAS
64%
19%
17%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1933 |
CAS
1 - 0
NAP
19%
19%
62%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | +1 |