Pro Vercelli vs Casale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.3%
12.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pro Vercelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1931 |
BOL
1 - 0
LEO
73%
15%
12%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 1931 |
LEO
2 - 0
BOL
41%
24%
35%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1931 |
LEO
2 - 0
BRE
51%
20%
29%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 1931 |
PRO
2 - 2
LEO
42%
24%
34%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1931 |
TRI
3 - 1
LEO
39%
25%
36%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1931 |
CAS
3 - 1
INT
7%
14%
79%
|
57 | 85 | 28 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 1931 |
CAS
3 - 2
ACM
28%
25%
47%
|
57 | 79 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1931 |
BOL
6 - 1
CAS
93%
5%
2%
|
57 | 85 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1931 |
NAP
1 - 0
CAS
74%
15%
11%
|
57 | 81 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1931 |
CAS
3 - 1
TOR
28%
27%
45%
|
56 | 80 | 24 | +1 |