Pro Vercelli vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.2%
32.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pro Vercelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1929 |
MOD
1 - 1
LEO
46%
23%
31%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1929 |
LEO
1 - 0
INT
38%
24%
38%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | +2 |
| 06 Oct. 1929 |
LEO
3 - 3
GEN
35%
21%
44%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 1929 |
FIO
1 - 0
LEO
79%
13%
9%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 1929 |
USC
2 - 0
LEO
52%
22%
26%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1929 |
BRE
3 - 2
PAD
65%
18%
18%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1929 |
NAP
1 - 1
BRE
67%
17%
17%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 1929 |
ACM
4 - 1
BRE
66%
18%
16%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 1929 |
BRE
0 - 10
BOL
34%
22%
44%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1929 |
BRE
0 - 5
GEN
48%
22%
31%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |