US Ponte San Pietro vs Real Calepina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
25.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Ponte San Pietro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
SON
1 - 5
USP
50%
23%
27%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
USP
0 - 0
ARC
33%
25%
43%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
CAS
4 - 1
USP
66%
18%
16%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2021 |
USP
1 - 1
FAN
28%
24%
48%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
USP
1 - 1
OLG
60%
22%
18%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Real Calepina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
CAL
0 - 1
USB
29%
23%
48%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
CAS
0 - 2
CAL
75%
14%
11%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | +2 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
CAL
0 - 1
LEO
60%
20%
20%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
VCB
0 - 3
CAL
71%
17%
13%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +2 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
CAL
3 - 3
SON
22%
21%
57%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +1 |