US Ponte San Pietro vs Caravaggio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
26.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Ponte San Pietro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
CAL
1 - 1
USP
35%
24%
41%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
USP
1 - 2
SON
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
ARC
3 - 3
USP
46%
22%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
USP
0 - 0
CAS
29%
25%
46%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
OLG
1 - 2
USP
23%
22%
55%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 1
CAL
17%
21%
62%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
CRE
1 - 0
CAR
59%
22%
19%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 4
SAN
16%
19%
65%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | -2 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
VCB
4 - 1
CAR
69%
17%
14%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 1
SON
43%
23%
34%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |