Poggibonsi vs Voluntas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.4%
11.4%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poggibonsi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
MAS
2 - 3
USP
55%
25%
21%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
USP
0 - 0
SCA
57%
24%
19%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 1
USP
38%
27%
35%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
USP
0 - 0
SAN
47%
26%
27%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
VMO
0 - 4
USP
51%
24%
26%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Voluntas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
VOL
0 - 3
VFC
27%
27%
46%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
GHI
3 - 1
VOL
58%
21%
21%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
VOL
2 - 5
JMO
27%
24%
49%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | -2 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
SCA
1 - 0
VOL
50%
24%
26%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
VOL
2 - 1
SSD
42%
26%
33%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |